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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by soccer.stats.05 10/05/12, 11:47 pm

There were 24 games in the 'newly submitted' tab so I added those and did a new calculation. Some games were from the PT Summer Tournament last weekend. I was interested in getting those cross league games in for the strength of schedule calculations.

In general there was not much movement in the overall order of teams after the new calculations. Maybe a swap here and there. I saw a post where someone did the projected vs actual results for the tournament, and I was shocked to see how relatively accurate the statistical rankings were.

6 of the top 10 teams play in that Legend tournament gold bracket. Don't think the statistics will hold up as well for this one. Bunch of these games can go either way depending on who shows up/heat/sleepovers/etc. Should be some exciting matches.

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Post by FriscoSoccer2004 21/05/12, 10:55 am

For the May 18-20th Legends Tourney here is the outcome as compared to the Soccer Stats 05 Rating System.

So Soccer Stats System (difference between Ratings) predicted the outcome in 10 of the 12 games, and got the point spread within 1 goal in 4 of those 10 games.

DALLAS KICKS SC 05 11.023
Liverpool FC America 05 Girls HYYPIA 10.387
AZTECS FC LADY AZTECS FC 10.128
DALLAS TEXANS ACADEMY 05G Moreno 7.917
DALLAS COSMOS 05 BLACK 6.754
Liverpool 05 Girls Heighway 5.092


Friday, May 18, 2012
AZTECS FC LADY AZTECS FC 2 (Rating: 10.128)__vs__DALLAS TEXANS ACADEMY 05G MORENO 0 (Rating: 7.917) (projected LA by 2, Actual LA by 2)
DALLAS KICKS SC 05 8 (Rating: 11.023)________vs__Liverpool 05 Girls Heighway 0 (Rating: 5.092) (Projected DK by 6, Actualy DK by 8 )

Saturday, May 19, 2012
AZTECS FC LADY AZTECS FC 2 (Rating: 10.128)__vs__Liverpool 05 Girls Heighway 0 (Rating: 5.092) (projected LA by 5, Actual LA by 2)
Liverpool 05 Girls Heighway 1 (Rating: 5.092)_vs_LIVERPOOL FC AMERICA 05 GILRS HYYPIA 7 (Rating: 10.387) (Projected Hyypia by 5, Actual Hyypia by 6)
DALLAS KICKS SC 05 0 (Rating: 11.023)________vs__AZTECS FC LADY AZTECS FC 0 (Rating: 10.128) (Projected Tie, Actual Tie)

LIVERPOOL 05 GILRS HYYPIA 6 (Rating: 10.387)_vs__DALLAS COSMOS 05 BLACK 1 (Rating: 6.754) (Projected Hyypia by 3, Actual Hyypia by 5)
DALLAS COSMOS 05 BLACK 0 (Rating: 6.754)_____vs__DALLAS KICKS SC 05 7 (Rating: 11.023) (Projected DK by 4, Actualy DK by 7)
LIVERPOOL 05 GILRS HYYPIA 3 (Rating: 10.387)_vs__DALLAS TEXANS ACADEMY 05G MORENO 0 (Rating: 7.917) (Projected Hyypia by 2, Actual Hyypia by 3)
DALLAS TEXANS 05G MORENO 5 (Rating: 7.917)___vs__ DALLAS COSMOS 05 BLACK 0 (Rating: 6.754) (Projected DTM by 1, Actual DTM by 5)

Sunday, May 20, 2012 (CHAMPIONSHIP BRACKET)
SEMI - DALLAS KICKS SC 05 1 (Rating: 11.023)________vs__DALLAS TEXANS 05G MORENO 0 (Rating: 7.917) (Projected DK by 3, Actualy DK by 1 in PKs)
SEMI - AZTECS FC LADY AZTECS FC 2 (Rating: 10.128)__vs__LIVERPOOL FC AMERICA 05 GILRS HYYPIA 4 (Rating: 10.387) (Projected Tie, Actual Hyypia by 2)
Finals - DALLAS KICKS SC 05 0 (Rating: 11.023)________vs__LIVERPOOL FC AMERICA 05 GILRS HYYPIA 2 (Rating: 10.387) (Projected Tie, Actual Hyypia by 2)



Last edited by FriscoSoccer05 on 22/05/12, 11:49 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by FriscoSoccer2004 22/05/12, 11:47 pm

Noticed Zap 05 needs to be added
Also TFC 05 is now American Eagles 05
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Post by soccer.stats.05 05/06/12, 09:12 am

Added games that were submitted for the end of season tournaments. Ran new calculations. Again, comparing the old rankings to the new rankings, there is little movement now. Couple of teams switched spots. We tracked 332 games across 48 teams. For next year (2012-13), we will wipe the slate clean and start with zero games and start building up again.

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Post by futbolita_fan 06/06/12, 08:41 pm

you can probably remove stryke force from the list - it was a rec team experiment that ran its course...they are safely back in the nurturing bosom of the BAYFA rec system.

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Post by FriscoSoccer2004 06/06/12, 10:05 pm

futbolita_fan wrote:you can probably remove stryke force from the list - it was a rec team experiment that ran its course...they are safely back in the nurturing bosom of the BAYFA rec system.

You said Bosom.
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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by Distributor 16/09/12, 08:44 am

soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by FriscoSoccer2004 16/09/12, 06:33 pm

Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...
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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by Distributor 16/09/12, 08:36 pm

FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...

That would be fun. Wasn't there a challenge by soccer.stats.05 and BWG about who's ranking system was better? I believe it was in another age group, but not sure what ever came out of it.

I like the FBR as it seems to keep the most recent games, instead of all of the games. However, both are good baselines for banter... Smile


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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by FriscoSoccer2004 16/09/12, 08:40 pm

Distributor wrote:
FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...

That would be fun. Wasn't there a challenge by soccer.stats.05 and BWG about who's ranking system was better? I believe it was in another age group, but not sure what ever came out of it.

I like the FBR as it seems to keep the most recent games, instead of all of the games. However, both are good baselines for banter... Smile


Agree. Btw. I heard the 05 Tulsa team is coming to north Texas in November or one of the tourneys.
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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by Distributor 16/09/12, 08:49 pm

FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...

That would be fun. Wasn't there a challenge by soccer.stats.05 and BWG about who's ranking system was better? I believe it was in another age group, but not sure what ever came out of it.

I like the FBR as it seems to keep the most recent games, instead of all of the games. However, both are good baselines for banter... Smile


Agree. Btw. I heard the 05 Tulsa team is coming to north Texas in November or one of the tourneys.

Bring it... Very Happy

That would actually be pretty cool! Gets boring playing the same teams all the time. There was one team from Tulsa that came down for a 3v3 tourney (Soccer Divas maybe?)...they said there's not many '05 teams to play against, so they play up all the time. Would be fun. I wonder if their parents are as crazy as ours?

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Post by FriscoSoccer2004 17/09/12, 06:04 am

Distributor wrote:
FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...

That would be fun. Wasn't there a challenge by soccer.stats.05 and BWG about who's ranking system was better? I believe it was in another age group, but not sure what ever came out of it.

I like the FBR as it seems to keep the most recent games, instead of all of the games. However, both are good baselines for banter... Smile


Agree. Btw. I heard the 05 Tulsa team is coming to north Texas in November or one of the tourneys.

Bring it... Very Happy

That would actually be pretty cool! Gets boring playing the same teams all the time. There was one team from Tulsa that came down for a 3v3 tourney (Soccer Divas maybe?)...they said there's not many '05 teams to play against, so they play up all the time. Would be fun. I wonder if their parents are as crazy as ours?

I believe they play for this Tulsa team that is coming down

Side note, why does PT offer 7v7 and 9v9, why not just one format?
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Statistical Rankings - Page 2 Empty Re: Statistical Rankings

Post by KSD 17/09/12, 08:54 am

Distributor wrote:
FriscoSoccer05 wrote:
Distributor wrote:
soccer.stats.05 wrote:05 North Texas Soccer Rankings
http://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AvCcWaU-Tr54dEVhMWVGZjBRQlJmdDNxczVreVhBQlE&output=html


UPDATES:
3/13/12: Added AFC Adidas Fall Challenge 2011 Tournament
3/26/12: Added some missing teams in the game entry form for the SDL and PSA leagues.
3/29/12: 44 games added and new calculations performed.
4/22/12: 29 games added and new calculations performed.
5/1/12: 32 games added and new calculations performed. Added 2 teams and combined 2 teams.
5/10/12: 24 games added (PT Summer Tournament and some stragglers). New calculations performed.
6/5/12: 15 games added (end of season tournament). New calculations performed.

Is soccerstats05 still around?
Any planned updates?
With so many teams in CFBAL, should make the game reports a little easier!

Heard BWGophers is considering doing a FBR for 05s...

That would be fun. Wasn't there a challenge by soccer.stats.05 and BWG about who's ranking system was better? I believe it was in another age group, but not sure what ever came out of it.

I like the FBR as it seems to keep the most recent games, instead of all of the games. However, both are good baselines for banter... Smile


Don't know much about FBR... but the soccerstats05 results were crazy accurate as far as using it to predict winners based on past results... Frisco did an analysis several weeks in a row and the predictions were right way more than they were wrong... even down to doing a good job of predicting the actual score... so, at least for me, if you're out there soccerstats05... keep it coming! Of course, would love to see BWGophers do FBR as well. I can only imagine how much time that takes so much thanks to him for all he does to feed us crazy parents!
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