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05 LHQT bracket analysis

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Post by soccerjack 22/07/15, 01:20 pm

jsullivan81 wrote:
nortexmaker wrote:Fair point about the lack of goal scoring in Plat A last weekend.

Looking over a longer time horizon (say April to the present), FCD Elite (aka Gerrard, aka LP Premier) has scored 0 or 1 goals per game 88% of the time (12 out of the last 17 games)....and one of the two the multi-goal games was against USA Soccer Academy.

The data doesn't lie...

12 out of 17 is not 88%.
70% maybe.


If a train leaves Kansas City headed to Dallas at 12:00 and travels at 70 mph, While another train leaves shreveport at 11:00 and travels at 60 mph.....which one will get there first?

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Post by Guest 22/07/15, 01:34 pm

soccerjack wrote:
jsullivan81 wrote:
nortexmaker wrote:Fair point about the lack of goal scoring in Plat A last weekend.

Looking over a longer time horizon (say April to the present), FCD Elite (aka Gerrard, aka LP Premier) has scored 0 or 1 goals per game 88% of the time (12 out of the last 17 games)....and one of the two the multi-goal games was against USA Soccer Academy.

The data doesn't lie...

12 out of 17 is not 88%.
70% maybe.


If a train leaves Kansas City headed to Dallas at 12:00 and travels at 70 mph, While another train leaves shreveport at 11:00 and travels at 60 mph.....which one will get there first?

:::Insuff Data:::

12:00 AM or PM?
11:00 AM or PM?
Any stops along the way?
Where is the Shreveport train headed?

:-)

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Post by soccerjack 22/07/15, 01:52 pm

Blob wrote:
soccerjack wrote:
jsullivan81 wrote:
nortexmaker wrote:Fair point about the lack of goal scoring in Plat A last weekend.

Looking over a longer time horizon (say April to the present), FCD Elite (aka Gerrard, aka LP Premier) has scored 0 or 1 goals per game 88% of the time (12 out of the last 17 games)....and one of the two the multi-goal games was against USA Soccer Academy.

The data doesn't lie...

12 out of 17 is not 88%.
70% maybe.


If a train leaves Kansas City headed to Dallas at 12:00 and travels at 70 mph, While another train leaves shreveport at 11:00 and travels at 60 mph.....which one will get there first?

:::Insuff Data:::

12:00 AM or PM?
11:00 AM or PM?
Any stops along the way?
Where is the Shreveport train headed?

:-)


You can pick and choose what ever data best fits your desired outcome.....that's how this board works.
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Post by blulink 22/07/15, 02:58 pm

soccerjack wrote:
jsullivan81 wrote:
nortexmaker wrote:Fair point about the lack of goal scoring in Plat A last weekend.

Looking over a longer time horizon (say April to the present), FCD Elite (aka Gerrard, aka LP Premier) has scored 0 or 1 goals per game 88% of the time (12 out of the last 17 games)....and one of the two the multi-goal games was against USA Soccer Academy.

The data doesn't lie...

12 out of 17 is not 88%.
70% maybe.


If a train leaves Kansas City headed to Dallas at 12:00 and travels at 70 mph, While another train leaves shreveport at 11:00 and travels at 60 mph.....which one will get there first?

Apparently not the train with FCD Elite on it (totally not hating, just couldn't resist)... lol!

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Post by Guest 22/07/15, 03:55 pm

The correct answer is "No. The NTX CR will not pull a yellow card when the trains collide."

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Post by soccergirlsdad 23/07/15, 08:21 am

And so it begins...

GOOD LUCK!! cheers

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Post by Guest 23/07/15, 09:18 am

Yes, good luck to everyone!

By the way, anyone else enjoy the language on the LH note to Select parents? Something to the effect that questioning/yelling at the official NEVER EVER helps. I particularly appreciated the all caps. Yeah, like that's going to stop us.

So, good luck to all the officials this weekend, as well. And don't take it too personally when we break the above rule . . . because we will. We don't hate you; we just resent that you have so much power and are choosing to use it for evil (i.e. not serving our purposes).

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Post by Dec2020 23/07/15, 10:09 am

^These refs could to take a lesson or two from umpires. #whysosensitive

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Post by wittymgr 23/07/15, 10:26 am

meat pie wrote:By the way, anyone else enjoy the language on the LH note to Select parents?  Something to the effect that questioning/yelling at the official NEVER EVER helps.  I particularly appreciated the all caps. Yeah, like that's going to stop us.
It might not stop you, but your volume will be decreased as you are escorted to the parking lot... Shocked Embarassed Evil or Very Mad
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Post by SickofStupidity 23/07/15, 10:38 am

Get used to it.

Honestly, you will see good and bad refs in LH.  

You will see refs overrule a linesman on offside from 50' away.  You will see linemen unable to run the side (and refs who can't move out of the circle). You will have refs who refuse to call a foul or pull a card. You will have refs who make up their own rules. You will have refs / linesman watch a clearly bad throw-in, but let it go "because they are learning". You will have refs who give a foul every time a small kid bounces off a big kid - but won't call forearms to the head or throat, or a 2-handed jersey pull from behind on a breakaway.

And you will have refs and linesmen that you wish you could have every weekend. When you do, take 2 minutes to go and thank them for a well-called game.

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Post by TatonkaBurger 23/07/15, 11:16 am

Any upsets brewing tonight?

Bracket A
SOLAR CHELSEA RED PULPANECK vs. FC DALLAS RING

STING WEST WEST vs. DALLAS TEXANS SOUTH RED LOTT


Bracket B
STING BLACK DIAZ vs. LFCA MCMANAMAN


Bracket C
LFCA RASE ELITE vs. ANDROMEDA FC WEST BLUE

FC DALLAS NORTH WHITE ROACH vs. ATHLETIC DALLAS SC MUNOZ


Bracket D
SOLAR CHELSEA EAST ARNOLD vs. WARRIORS FC

DALLAS TEXANS STARK vs. FC DALLAS EAST BOYLES


Bracket E
DALLAS TEXANS SOUTH ADAMES vs. CELTIC SC MCCALL

NTFC GREEN MARSHALL vs. FC DALLAS NORTH BLUE TENBRINK


Bracket F
FC DALLAS ELITE BAKER vs. FC DALLAS WHITE HUNTER

STING CENTRAL PARSONS vs. FC DIVAS VICTORIA
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Post by Anarchy 23/07/15, 12:59 pm

TatonkaBurger wrote:Any upsets brewing tonight? I don't see any upsets tonight, but a quick prediction.


Bracket A
SOLAR CHELSEA RED PULPANECK vs. FC DALLAS RING   - Pulp wins by 5

STING WEST WEST vs. DALLAS TEXANS SOUTH RED LOTT - Sting wins by 2


Bracket B
STING BLACK DIAZ vs. LFCA MCMANAMAN - Diaz wins by 6


Bracket C
LFCA RASE ELITE vs. ANDROMEDA FC WEST BLUE - Elite wins by 5

FC DALLAS NORTH WHITE ROACH vs. ATHLETIC DALLAS SC MUNOZ - Athletic by 1


Bracket D
SOLAR CHELSEA EAST ARNOLD vs. WARRIORS FC - Solar wins by 4

DALLAS TEXANS STARK vs. FC DALLAS EAST BOYLES - Stark wins by 1


Bracket E
DALLAS TEXANS SOUTH ADAMES vs. CELTIC SC MCCALL - Adames wins by 6

NTFC GREEN MARSHALL vs. FC DALLAS NORTH BLUE TENBRINK - NTFC wins by 2


Bracket F
FC DALLAS ELITE BAKER vs. FC DALLAS WHITE HUNTER - Baker wins by 4

STING CENTRAL PARSONS vs. FC DIVAS VICTORIA
- Sting wins by 1

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Post by KeeperCommander 23/07/15, 03:50 pm

Dec2020 wrote:^These refs could to take a lesson or two from umpires.  #whysosensitive

I think coaches should be able to run out and kick dirt at refs feet before they are kicked out.

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Post by bandito974 23/07/15, 04:51 pm

2 years ago there were some interesting posts about dark horses or under dogs surprising, and as I recall there were some pretty cool upsets, I'm curious to see if anyone has any picks for underdogs.. We all love a good Rocky Story

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Post by TatonkaBurger 23/07/15, 05:06 pm

I don't think there is a dark horse that will win any of the groups playing tonight.  But I think (#3) DT South Red Lott beats (#2) Sting West West in Bracket A.
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Post by soccerjack 23/07/15, 06:10 pm

TatonkaBurger wrote:I don't think there is a dark horse that will win any of the groups playing tonight.  But I think (#3) DT South Red Lott beats (#2) Sting West West in Bracket A.


You know what happens when you make predictions. pale
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Post by SuperCoach 23/07/15, 08:34 pm

nortexmaker wrote:First off, I genuflect to BW Gophers' final (say it isn't so!) FBR by getting 41/46 (90%) within 2 seeds of the LHQT seeding.  If you pick stocks too, sir, I'd like to see your portfolio!

Second, here are some observations from the bracket:

Highest Seed on Upset Alert:
==> FCD Elite.  Sting Parsons is used to Plat competition and I am still not convinced FCD Elite can score goals.  Could come down to a 0-0 draw and the goal differential tiebreaker could favor Parsons.

Team With the Most Legitimate Beef:
==> Athletic Dallas.  Not a meteoric fall from grace, but somewhat punitive based on a weak weekend in Tut Gold B. They were #16 one month ago.

Team That Should be Thanking Their Lucky Stars:
==> Sting Scarfone.  Not that playing Rush will be fun and fruitful for them, but getting a Top 20 seed after winning only one match of their last 6, they should count their lucky stars.

Team Most Likely to Be #1 Overall Seed for Round 2:
==> Mustangs.  They can score in a hurry...and often.  Not enough to overtake FWFC White, but enough to lock up pole position for Round 2.

Team Most Likely to Be #1 in D3:
==> NTFC Green.  Their goal scoring drought is coming at the worst time possible.



Who said fcd elite can't score?!?! Knocked out 10 goals tonight.
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Post by unknowingmom 23/07/15, 08:53 pm

Anybody know what's taking them so long to post the rest of the scores
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Post by Looking04 23/07/15, 08:55 pm

I would have thought #8 vs #24 would be closer. 10 goals in roughly 40 minutes - did Elite ever take their foot off the gas?

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Post by TatonkaBurger 23/07/15, 08:59 pm

jibjab2 wrote:I would have thought #8 vs #24 would be closer.  10 goals in roughly 40 minutes - did Elite ever take their foot off the gas?

Settle down big guy. Wasn't it #7 vs #43?
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Post by Looking04 23/07/15, 09:03 pm

TatonkaBurger wrote:
jibjab2 wrote:I would have thought #8 vs #24 would be closer.  10 goals in roughly 40 minutes - did Elite ever take their foot off the gas?

Settle down big guy. Wasn't it #7 vs #43?


sorry - my bad

I was looking at this post:

https://www.txsoccer.net/t27800p25-final-pre-qt-05-girls-fbr-rankings-07-20-15

Some douchebag had FCD White as #24.  Messed up all my picks.

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Post by douchebag 23/07/15, 09:23 pm

Glad I could service your frustration JibJab2. My niece's won 10-0 tonight as well and 4-1 last night.

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Post by KeeperCommander 23/07/15, 09:31 pm

Biggest surprise to me was Solar East (former Aztecs) only beating Warriors 1-0. Maybe they are better than I thought. NTFC Green losing to Tenbrick is another head scratcher. It does not surprise me that FCD Elite dropped 10 on FCD Hunter nor does it surprise me that Celtic got pounded by DTS. I had Celtic and Warriors as early exit picks at the end of this weekend. Perhaps I will revise that statement with Warriors.

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Post by TatonkaBurger 23/07/15, 09:59 pm

That is definitely the biggest surprise of the games tonight. Is there trouble brewing for Solar East or did that give them the scare they needed to get rolling?  It probably gives DT Stark a little confidence in the bracket.

DT South Red didn't get the win but a tie against Sting West West - a team everyone seems to think is really good - is a decent result.

NTFC Green is in trouble. And so is Sting Parsons. Interesting first night.
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Post by KeeperCommander 23/07/15, 10:07 pm

Also no surprise at Athletic Dallas with another loss. I believe it is time to stop putting them on a pedestal.

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Post by Looking04 23/07/15, 10:21 pm

douchebag wrote:Glad I could service your frustration JibJab2. My niece's won 10-0 tonight as well and 4-1 last night.

Glad to see your nieces have a good coach.

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