D3 Final Standings - early predictions.

With no games this weekend, and for the fun of it, I will throw my two-cents out, with my end of year final standings. I do think it will take more than 25 points to get through, but this division is so close, I am sure there will be a huge surprise. Will one of the bubble teams make a run to seal the deal...hard to say right now.

1. I think Thompson will win the division. Very solid play, consistent and had a nice lead on anyone who may try to catch this team. The Andro game will be the game of the year if things stay the way they are. Unless, there is a stumble some where, no one will catch this team.

2. Andro. The D1 pick-up at the break really improved this team. It was really coming on at the end of the fall, so it does not surprise me the improvement I have seen. I think Thompson will finish just ahead, because of the lead Andro had to overcome this spring.

3. Dallas Rush: This is a very solid, steady team that has really impressed me. The Thompson game is the toughest test remaining, but it still has three other worthy opponents to maneuver though. Of the other teams who could challenge, Rush has a lead at the beginning of the spring on everyone except Owen. I do believe Rush will take care of business.

4. Mustangs: Because of the lead in points from the fall, I think the Mustangs will earn enough points to get through. With the remaining schedule, and the lack of scoring, this team could get passed by a few teams that are currently behind it. If it collapses, and goes on a losing streak, it could possible finish 6th, but not likely.

The most exciting race, is who gets the last auto spot? I see three teams vying for this spot.

Owen: Owen has the most favorable schedule, has already played Andro and Thompson and will play its most important games back-to-back next. If this team can get through the FWFC and Dalglish games with no worse than a tie, I think this team will get the last spot. It had a points lead over FWFC and Dalgish, going into the spring, which is a big help.

Dalglish. If Owen does not get the last spot, I think Dalglish does. Only one point behind Owen at the start of the spring season, and has already played Thompson and FWFC, so its game with Owen will be a huge determining factor in who gets the last spot.

FWFC: Tougher schedule still ahead, did not gain any ground on Dalglish, so the Owen game, which is next on its schedule, is a must-win game. If the Owen game ends in a tie, that will be tough to overcome, which I do not think this team will. I predict a 7th place finish.

DFeeters: This team has already lost to one of the two weakest teams in the division. In its game against Premier, it had a player advantage, so that was not a fair contest. The Mustangs, in my opinion are not the team it was in the fall, so that win does not impress me either. The remaining schedule is formidible, and I think this team will struggle to find another win. I predict an 8th place finish.

Wow, your predictions are interesting. Owens, Dalglish, FWFC ahead of Feet, no way. Thompson wins, Andro 2nd, free for all for last three but I see Feet, Mustangs, Rush rounding out top 5. Rush is solid, Feet had one terrible loss but that happens to 11 year olds but you just can't score a lot against them plus they beat Owen, tied Thompson in fall, Mustangs are sliding. Who knows what happens really, all of this is interesting for the purpose of fun, girls soccer is highly unpredictable at best.

Thompson, Andro, Rush, Mustangs, Feet. Order could change but IMO this is how it ends. I think there are opportunities for Thompson to stumble and open door for the other 4 but too much of a lead for that to very broad chance. Owen 6, Dalglish 7, FWFC 8.

soccerman75 wrote:Wow, your predictions are interesting. Owens, Dalglish, FWFC ahead of Feet, no way.

Ok, Feet parent. Settle down. Should be no problems if the rest of the schedule has 8 players at every game.

It looks like Andro West found a kink in LP Thompson's armor beating them 3-2 in President Cup play last night. I think some coaches might want to head to Cedar Hill to do some scouting this weekend as Andro and LP Thompson will probably face off again in the Championship game.

Andrómeda West is big and very fast. They are definitely capable of beating any d-3 in LHGCL. I think they just had a bad qt. From what saw they play a very direct style. Very physical and strong.

I think Thompson wins it, Andro second, everything else up in the air for the remaining spots. I think these two teams are deeper than the next teams in the chase. Feet, Owen, Rush, Dalglish, etc. are good teams no doubt but these top two are stronger across the roster from what I have seen. Just my opinion of course.

Joga14:55 wrote:Andrómeda West is big and very fast.  They are definitely capable of beating any d-3  in LHGCL.   I think they just had a bad qt.  From what  saw they play a very direct style.  Very physical and strong.  

Ditto. The 35 yard thrown-ins aren't bad either. Good team.

With the middle of the pack fighting for survival, someone is going to have to beat Thompson/Andro to stay.

Of course, if there are any suspensions for FWFC players this will not help their chance for survival either.

Andro West tops LP Thompson 1-0 in final at President's Cup.

Weather was awful with pouring rain on Sat, they finally called the 6:00 games at half time. Sunday was freezing with crazy wind. The kind of wind that would knock you over in your chair and then stop completely, then knock you down again when you got up to pick up your stuff! My DD was coughing all night after being in that mess over the weekend. Oh well..thats soccer!

Fields were pretty nice out in Cedar Hill.

Andro west a good team with a great finisher who scored all their goals. If they can keep her from going to a D1 team they should have no issues qualifying and doing well next year. Congrats on the win.

Things are starting to clear up. While it is still a 3 horse race for 1st, Thompson needs only 2 wins to secure 1st and they still play both the bottom teams, so unless they stumble, they are pretty good bet for 1st.

More interesting race is who gets the final bye. I think Rush is far enough ahead and will win some coming down stretch so they are in. I think Daglish and Owen are out. Both still in it mathematically, but schedules are tough for both.

So, for me, it comes down to FWFC and Feet for final spot. They both have similar schedules. I think Feet are better, and have already had some tough luck, so I will go with them for getting the final bye, with FWFC being the last team out.

Should be interesting month.

Crazydadof3 wrote:Things are starting to clear up. While it is still a 3 horse race for 1st, Thompson needs only 2 wins to secure 1st and they still play both the bottom teams, so unless they stumble, they are pretty good bet for 1st.

More interesting race is who gets the final bye. I think Rush is far enough ahead and will win some coming down stretch so they are in. I think Daglish and Owen are out. Both still in it mathematically, but schedules are tough for both.

So, for me, it comes down to FWFC and Feet for final spot. They both have similar schedules. I think Feet are better, and have already had some tough luck, so I will go with them for getting the final bye, with FWFC being the last team out.

Should be interesting month.

I certainly hope that's how it ends. Feet is a good team and deserves a bye, UNLESS they end up using a club player pass to get that bye. If they do that, I hope they get their butts handed to them. I think if they were going to do that, though, they would have done it against Thompson, and they didn't. That showed class, and I hope they are rewarded for it.

imasoccerfreak wrote:

Crazydadof3 wrote:Things are starting to clear up. While it is still a 3 horse race for 1st, Thompson needs only 2 wins to secure 1st and they still play both the bottom teams, so unless they stumble, they are pretty good bet for 1st.

More interesting race is who gets the final bye. I think Rush is far enough ahead and will win some coming down stretch so they are in. I think Daglish and Owen are out. Both still in it mathematically, but schedules are tough for both.

So, for me, it comes down to FWFC and Feet for final spot. They both have similar schedules. I think Feet are better, and have already had some tough luck, so I will go with them for getting the final bye, with FWFC being the last team out.

Should be interesting month.

I certainly hope that's how it ends. Feet is a good team and deserves a bye, UNLESS they end up using a club player pass to get that bye. If they do that, I hope they get their butts handed to them. I think if they were going to do that, though, they would have done it against Thompson, and they didn't. That showed class, and I hope they are rewarded for it.

I guess this weekend will settle it pretty much. Feet leads Dalglish by a point and they play this weekend. Should be a dogfight. Feet hasn't beat Dalglish in two years so I am sure they'll be doubly motivated but will be facing a team just as motivated to secure a bye. If you discount the game played between the two, their remaining schedules are pretty similar in strength of competitor. Owen has probably the toughest remaining schedule followed by FWFC.

Andro D1 pick up? I'm the manager and not aware of a D1 pick up on our roster.....

NTsoccerdad2013 wrote:With no games this weekend, and for the fun of it, I will throw my two-cents out, with my end of year final standings.  I do think it will take more than 25 points to get through, but this division is so close, I am sure there will be a huge surprise.  Will one of the bubble teams make a run to seal the deal...hard to say right now.

1.  I think Thompson will win the division.  Very solid play, consistent and had a nice lead on anyone who may try to catch this team.  The Andro game will be the game of the year if things stay the way they are.  Unless, there is a stumble some where, no one will catch this team.

2.  Andro.  The D1 pick-up at the break really improved this team.  It was really coming on at the end of the fall, so it does not surprise me the improvement I have seen.  I think Thompson will finish just ahead, because of the lead Andro had to overcome this spring.

3.  Dallas Rush:  This is a very solid, steady team that has really impressed me.  The Thompson game is the toughest test remaining, but it still has three other worthy opponents to maneuver though.  Of the other teams who could challenge, Rush has a lead at the beginning of the spring on everyone except Owen.  I do believe Rush will take care of business.

4.  Mustangs:  Because of the lead in points from the fall, I think the Mustangs will earn enough points to get through.  With the remaining schedule, and the lack of scoring, this team could get passed by a few teams that are currently behind it.  If it collapses, and goes on a losing streak, it could possible finish 6th, but not likely.

The most exciting race, is who gets the last auto spot?  I see three teams vying for this spot.

Owen:  Owen has the most favorable schedule, has already played Andro and Thompson and will play its most important games back-to-back next.  If this team can get through the FWFC and Dalglish games with no worse than a tie, I think this team will get the last spot.  It had a points lead over FWFC and Dalgish, going into the spring, which is a big help.

Dalglish.  If Owen does not get the last spot, I think Dalglish does.  Only one point behind Owen at the start of the spring season, and has already played Thompson and FWFC, so its game with Owen will be a huge determining factor in who gets the last spot.

FWFC:  Tougher schedule still ahead, did not gain any ground on Dalglish, so the Owen game, which is next on its schedule, is a must-win game.  If the Owen game ends in a tie, that will be tough to overcome, which I do not think this team will. I predict a 7th place finish.

DFeeters:  This team has already lost to one of the two weakest teams in the division.  In its game against Premier, it had a player advantage, so that was not a fair contest.  The Mustangs, in my opinion are not the team it was in the fall, so that win does not impress me either.  The remaining schedule is formidible, and I think this team will struggle to find another win.  I predict an 8th place finish.

How's this prediction looking now? Should be the deciding weekend for 3rd-6th spot this week?

I am the one who started this thread, so I guess you are directing the question to me.

I agree, this weekend should answer most questions. It appears I clearly missed on prediction for Owen, and FWFC did make a run, but other than that, I was close. I will do a followup after the season is over. Still too many things could happen to say who finishes where. Any of the teams except for the bottom two, can beat anyone else.

2 meaningful games this weekend. A tie or better for Thompson gives them the lone D2 slot. A very interesting match. Andro is scoring more, should be a big test for Thompson. Even if Thompson loses, a win the following week against FC Prem gives them 1st place. Should be a war.

Maybe more interesting topic is who is the last team out. Mustangs with a tie or win over Daglish should be in and Dag almost certainly out. However, if they lose, and if Rush and FWFC win as expected, then Rush will have 29, FWFC 28, Mustangs 28, and Dag 26.

Under the above scenario, the last week would be huge: Daglish will have FCD Red, which if they win again, gives them 29. Rush plays feet, win or tie, they are in. FWFC has andro, and that will be a tough team to get a win or tie against when Andro will need a win to have any chance of winning the group.

So seems like a lot hinges on the Dag- Mustangs game this week. Next week becomes almost meaningless if Dag does not win this week.

In D-3 I think the teams will finish...
1. LP Thompson
2. Andro
3. Texans/Rush
4. Mustangs
5. FWFC

Andro has virtually no chance to catch LP even if they beat them this weekend. LP would still have a 1 point lead with only FC Premier left to play while Andro has another tough game with FWFC. If Andro would have played better early in the fall they probably would've ended up first..but that is why they all count. Will be very interested in seeing what happens in the game with LP this weekend even if it won't matter in the final standings. Andro can score, LP is VERY tough to score on and has timely offense. Fun game.

As for the 3-5 battle...It seems Texans should be safe with 1 relatively 'easy' game left and a 3 points in hand over Dalglish . And FWFC might be 'in' if they beat FCD East this weekend no matter what they do vs. Andro.

Mustangs & Dalglish both have tougher 2 game schedules--including playing each other as has been noted. I think Mustangs will find a way to hold onto one of the last 'bye' spots but it is no sure thing. They are also very tough to score on--but don't find the net themselves too often. Makes for tight games that usually swing on 1 play or set piece.

Interesting question I have been thinking about...if team byes from other divisions (D1) don't get used b/c of a variety of reasons (ECNL, etc.) does that mean 2nd/3rd teams who didn't get promoted (from D2 to D1 or D3 to D2) get promoted down the road? And therefore teams who didnt' get a bye (6th place) might move up?

If so it will get really crazy and every point does matter down the stretch!

I did find it interesting that earlier this week that Liverpool FCA posted a congratulatory message to Thompson for earning promotion to DII via twitter.  Let's hope the parade planning doesn't come back to haunt them.

Interesting. I would hold off on the congratulations until it's all over. Though I think Thompson will go up to DII, you never know what can happen. My guess is Andromeda is playing to win and FC Premier could play a spoiler role. This division has been very hard to predict because the differences between the teams has been very small.

That's funny about the text. Hopefully it doesn't come back to haunt them. Basically all they need is a win or a tie this weekend and they advance.

The last two weeks should be interesting. Only LP Thompson and Andromeda have secured a place in LH's next year (either DII or DII). The odds are that Mustangs wont be bumped out but if they lose their final two and the teams below them all win then they could be bumped. It's always amazing to me how many different scenarios there are when it comes to end of the season results.

It looks like things are fairly settled with D3. Interested to see outcome of Andromeda/Thompson game, but with Dalglish losing to Mustangs, the top 5 teams are settled. Feel bad for both Dalglish and Defeeters, as both teams have played well and shown they can compete. The competition has been good and congrats to the top 5 teams.

I had heard Andromeda Powers was good. Nope... kickball and dirty fouls.

Andro-2. Liverpool -0

Both teams played badly...very ugly soccer.