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The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
Who will win Saturday? Redstar, DT, or AFC?
The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
What do you all think? Seems you could argue almost any possibility. Statistically you could say 33% chance that all 3 could WIN or TIE or LOSE and the standings stay as they are , but it seems highly unlikely to me.
Good luck to all involved!
Last edited by Hook It on 07/05/13, 09:36 am; edited 1 time in total
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Hook It- TxSoccer Author
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
allhatnocattle- TxSoccer Postmaster
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
Good Luck to everyone this weekend. Should be interesting.
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
flippinA- TxSoccer Postmaster
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
flippinA wrote:Texans stay in...
I believe that they are in also because RedSTAR did not win (they got beat by DIAMONDS). They needed both of those things to happen.
__________________________________________________
“Life is not a journey to the grave with intentions of arriving safely in a pretty well-preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside, thoroughly used up, totally worn out and loudly proclaiming ... WOW! What a ride!”
-IWD4U
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Hook It- TxSoccer Author
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
Hook It wrote: Statistically you could say 33% chance that all 3 could WIN or TIE or LOSE and the standings stay as they are , but it seems highly unlikely to me.
Actually, statistically, you are way off. The straight up odds that all 3 games would have the same outcome is 11%. Three games with each having 3 possible out comes gives you 27 possible results and out of those 27 there are only 3 which are same all across (www, lll, ddd). So if you take 3/27 gets you an 11.1% chance of the outcomes all matching. Now this assumes the 3 teams are equal, and the opponents are equal, which they are not. Each team doesn't have a 33% chance of Win, Lose, or Draw. Considering this, makes finding the true odds more subjective, and my subjective opinion would be in the 2% range.
Blank77- Original Supporting Member
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Re: The final spot...1 is in two will be packing - who and why?
Blank77 wrote:Hook It wrote: Statistically you could say 33% chance that all 3 could WIN or TIE or LOSE and the standings stay as they are , but it seems highly unlikely to me.
Actually, statistically, you are way off. The straight up odds that all 3 games would have the same outcome is 11%. Three games with each having 3 possible out comes gives you 27 possible results and out of those 27 there are only 3 which are same all across (www, lll, ddd). So if you take 3/27 gets you an 11.1% chance of the outcomes all matching. Now this assumes the 3 teams are equal, and the opponents are equal, which they are not. Each team doesn't have a 33% chance of Win, Lose, or Draw. Considering this, makes finding the true odds more subjective, and my subjective opinion would be in the 2% range.
Thanks Blank for the math correction, you are right, my number seemed too high even at 11% as you mentioned with all the factors in reality.... clearly it all worked out that way as well.....
I find it a bit funny that 77% of the poll above thought the result would be different....
__________________________________________________
“Life is not a journey to the grave with intentions of arriving safely in a pretty well-preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside, thoroughly used up, totally worn out and loudly proclaiming ... WOW! What a ride!”
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